- XRP lost key support after failing to reclaim $1.90.
- The rebound from $1.64 is now viewed as a relief bounce.
- Traders are watching the next support near $1.14.
XRP’s recent price action may look like just another volatile cryptocurrency swing, but the market structure has officially flipped bearish.
According to the analysis shared by popular crypto market trading specialist CoinsKid in an X post on January 9, following a rejection near $3 and rolling into a deeper retracement, XRP briefly bounced from the $1.64, a level the expert has been bidding since last year. While that bounce played out as expected, the recovery failed to reclaim the critical $1.90 structure.
And that failure changed everything.
Why $1.64 Was The Most Important Level
CoinsKid has built a long-term strategy around what he calls GCBT bid zones, deep retracement levels that have historically marked major cycle bottoms. His record shows that these were $0.21 in 2020, $0.55 in 2021, $0.29 in 2022, $0.30 in 2023, $0.388 in 2024, and $1.64 in 2025. Each of these bids was filled before a major recovery.
And in 2025, when XRP was still trading above $3, CoinsKid was already bidding $1.64, a call that many dismissed at the time. When price finally tagged that zone, XRP bounced sharply. But that bounce didn’t hold.
The Failed Recovery That Changed The Setup
After rebounding from $1.64, XRP attempted to reclaim higher structure, but failed to hold above $1.90. That loss, according to CoinsKid, marked a market regime shift. The move higher turned into a classic three-wave bull trap in the summer, pulling in late buyers before rolling over again.
From a technical perspective, this type of structure often signals the end of a distribution phase and the beginning of a deeper corrective cycle. CoinsKid says he warned repeatedly that the $1.64 low was critical, and that losing it would open the door to a far more bearish market. That warning is now playing out.
Why XRP Now Looks Structurally Bearish
In trending markets, support levels act as anchors for trend continuation. When those anchors fail, momentum shifts. XRP’s inability to hold the $1.90 structure confirmed that the bounce was corrective, not impulsive. In other words, it was a relief rally, not the start of a new bull leg. With the level lost, the market flipped from accumulation to distribution. And once distribution completes, price typically seeks the next major liquidity zone.
The Next Level Traders Are Watching
For 2026, CoinsKid has $1.14 on his radar. If XRP reaches this zone, it would mark the next historical GCBT bid level, and potentially the first time in years that his bids fail to fill. So far, every single cycle has respected these levels. If 2026 breaks that streak, it would signal a structural shift in XRP’s long-term behavior.
XRP’s rejection from $3, breakdown below $1.90, and failure to hold its recovery have officially flipped the market bias. The bounce from $1.64 played out perfectly, but it was only a temporary relief move inside a broader bearish structure. Now, traders are watching whether XRP repeats history and tags the next GCBT level near $1.14.
XRP price today
For the time being, XRP is trading at $2.10, down 0.09% on the day, up 10.85% across the week, and gaining 1.36% on its monthly chart, according to the most recent information.
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What do you think?
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